Northern Lights Forecast Murmansk: Live Aurora Chance Today

--%

Chance to see the Northern Lights in Murmansk tonight

Loading live data…

Kp index (now)-

Bz (IMF)-

Solar wind speed-km/s

Proton density-p/cm³

Aurora oval over Murmansk-OVATION model, now

Cloud cover (now)-Murmansk

Kp index: observed and 3-day forecast

Global geomagnetic activity. For Murmansk, Kp 2–3 is usually already enough.

Source: NOAA SWPC Planetary K-index · 3-day forecast

Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (last 6 h)

Negative (southward) Bz opens Earth's magnetosphere, so aurora becomes much more likely.

Source: NOAA SWPC Real-Time Solar Wind (DSCOVR)

Solar wind speed (last 6 h)

Above 500 km/s is considered fast.

Source: NOAA SWPC Real-Time Solar Wind

Proton density (last 6 h)

Denser solar wind gives a stronger push on the magnetosphere.

Source: NOAA SWPC Real-Time Solar Wind

Cloud cover in Murmansk, next 24 h

Aurora is only visible through clear sky. Times are Murmansk time (UTC+3).

Source: Open-Meteo

More sources

NOAA OVATION aurora 30-minute forecast
NOAA Aurora Dashboard
GFZ Potsdam: official Kp index
NOAA space weather scales (G1–G5)

The percentage is our own estimate, combining the NOAA Kp forecast, cloud cover and darkness in Murmansk. It is not an official NOAA figure. Data refreshes every 5 minutes.